statsmodels.tsa.statespace.simulation_smoother.SimulationSmoother

class statsmodels.tsa.statespace.simulation_smoother.SimulationSmoother(k_endog, k_states, k_posdef=None, simulation_smooth_results_class=None, simulation_smoother_classes=None, **kwargs)[source]

State space representation of a time series process, with Kalman filter and smoother, and with simulation smoother.

Parameters:
k_endog{array_like, int}

The observed time-series process \(y\) if array like or the number of variables in the process if an integer.

k_statesint

The dimension of the unobserved state process.

k_posdefint, optional

The dimension of a guaranteed positive definite covariance matrix describing the shocks in the measurement equation. Must be less than or equal to k_states. Default is k_states.

simulation_smooth_results_classclass, optional

Default results class to use to save output of simulation smoothing. Default is SimulationSmoothResults. If specified, class must extend from SimulationSmoothResults.

simulation_smoother_classesdict, optional

Dictionary with BLAS prefixes as keys and classes as values.

**kwargs

Keyword arguments may be used to provide default values for state space matrices, for Kalman filtering options, for Kalman smoothing options, or for Simulation smoothing options. See Representation, KalmanFilter, and KalmanSmoother for more details.

Attributes:
design
dtype

(dtype) Datatype of currently active representation matrices

endog
memory_no_filtered

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered state and covariance matrices.

memory_no_forecast

(bool) Flag to prevent storing all forecast-related output.

memory_no_predicted

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted state and covariance matrices.

obs

(array) Observation vector: \(y~(k\_endog \times nobs)\)

obs_cov
obs_intercept
prefix

(str) BLAS prefix of currently active representation matrices

selection
state_cov
state_intercept
time_invariant

(bool) Whether or not currently active representation matrices are

transition

Methods

bind(endog)

Bind data to the statespace representation

clone(endog, **kwargs)

Clone a state space representation while overriding some elements

diff_endog(new_endog[, tolerance])

extend(endog[, start, end])

Extend the current state space model, or a specific (time) subset

filter([filter_method, inversion_method, ...])

Apply the Kalman filter to the statespace model.

fixed_scale(scale)

Context manager for fixing the scale when FILTER_CONCENTRATED is set

get_simulation_output([simulation_output, ...])

Get simulation output bitmask

impulse_responses([steps, impulse, ...])

Impulse response function

initialize(initialization[, ...])

Create an Initialization object if necessary

initialize_approximate_diffuse([variance])

Initialize the statespace model with approximate diffuse values.

initialize_diffuse()

Initialize the statespace model as stationary.

initialize_known(constant, stationary_cov)

Initialize the statespace model with known distribution for initial state.

initialize_stationary()

Initialize the statespace model as stationary.

loglike(**kwargs)

Calculate the loglikelihood associated with the statespace model.

loglikeobs(**kwargs)

Calculate the loglikelihood for each observation associated with the statespace model.

set_conserve_memory([conserve_memory])

Set the memory conservation method

set_filter_method([filter_method])

Set the filtering method

set_filter_timing([alternate_timing])

Set the filter timing convention

set_inversion_method([inversion_method])

Set the inversion method

set_smooth_method([smooth_method])

Set the smoothing method

set_smoother_output([smoother_output])

Set the smoother output

set_stability_method([stability_method])

Set the numerical stability method

simulate(nsimulations[, measurement_shocks, ...])

Simulate a new time series following the state space model

simulation_smoother([simulation_output, ...])

Retrieve a simulation smoother for the statespace model.

smooth([smoother_output, smooth_method, ...])

Apply the Kalman smoother to the statespace model.

Properties

conserve_memory

(int) Memory conservation bitmask.

design

(array) Design matrix: \(Z~(k\_endog \times k\_states \times nobs)\)

dtype

(dtype) Datatype of currently active representation matrices

endog

(array) The observation vector, alias for obs.

filter_augmented

(bool) Flag for augmented Kalman filtering.

filter_chandrasekhar

(bool) Flag for filtering with Chandrasekhar recursions.

filter_collapsed

(bool) Flag for Kalman filtering with collapsed observation vector.

filter_concentrated

(bool) Flag for Kalman filtering with concentrated log-likelihood.

filter_conventional

(bool) Flag for conventional Kalman filtering.

filter_exact_initial

(bool) Flag for exact initial Kalman filtering.

filter_extended

(bool) Flag for extended Kalman filtering.

filter_method

(int) Filtering method bitmask.

filter_methods

filter_square_root

(bool) Flag for square-root Kalman filtering.

filter_timing

(int) Filter timing.

filter_univariate

(bool) Flag for univariate filtering of multivariate observation vector.

filter_unscented

(bool) Flag for unscented Kalman filtering.

inversion_method

(int) Inversion method bitmask.

inversion_methods

invert_cholesky

(bool) Flag for Cholesky inversion method.

invert_lu

(bool) Flag for LU inversion method.

invert_univariate

(bool) Flag for univariate inversion method (recommended).

memory_conserve

(bool) Flag to conserve the maximum amount of memory.

memory_no_filtered

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered state and covariance matrices.

memory_no_filtered_cov

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered state covariance matrices.

memory_no_filtered_mean

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered states.

memory_no_forecast

(bool) Flag to prevent storing all forecast-related output.

memory_no_forecast_cov

(bool) Flag to prevent storing forecast error covariance matrices.

memory_no_forecast_mean

(bool) Flag to prevent storing forecasts and forecast errors.

memory_no_gain

(bool) Flag to prevent storing the Kalman gain matrices.

memory_no_likelihood

(bool) Flag to prevent storing likelihood values for each observation.

memory_no_predicted

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted state and covariance matrices.

memory_no_predicted_cov

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted state covariance matrices.

memory_no_predicted_mean

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted states.

memory_no_smoothing

(bool) Flag to prevent storing likelihood values for each observation.

memory_no_std_forecast

(bool) Flag to prevent storing standardized forecast errors.

memory_options

memory_store_all

(bool) Flag for storing all intermediate results in memory (default).

obs

(array) Observation vector: \(y~(k\_endog \times nobs)\)

obs_cov

(array) Observation covariance matrix: \(H~(k\_endog \times k\_endog \times nobs)\)

obs_intercept

(array) Observation intercept: \(d~(k\_endog \times nobs)\)

prefix

(str) BLAS prefix of currently active representation matrices

selection

(array) Selection matrix: \(R~(k\_states \times k\_posdef \times nobs)\)

simulation_outputs

smooth_alternative

(bool) Flag for alternative (modified Bryson-Frazier) smoothing.

smooth_classical

(bool) Flag for classical (see e.g.

smooth_conventional

(bool) Flag for conventional (Durbin and Koopman, 2012) Kalman smoothing.

smooth_method

smooth_methods

smooth_univariate

(bool) Flag for univariate smoothing (uses modified Bryson-Frazier timing).

smoother_all

smoother_disturbance

smoother_disturbance_cov

smoother_output

smoother_outputs

smoother_state

smoother_state_autocov

smoother_state_cov

solve_cholesky

(bool) Flag for Cholesky and linear solver inversion method (recommended).

solve_lu

(bool) Flag for LU and linear solver inversion method.

stability_force_symmetry

(bool) Flag for enforcing covariance matrix symmetry

stability_method

(int) Stability method bitmask.

stability_methods

state_cov

(array) State covariance matrix: \(Q~(k\_posdef \times k\_posdef \times nobs)\)

state_intercept

(array) State intercept: \(c~(k\_states \times nobs)\)

time_invariant

(bool) Whether or not currently active representation matrices are time-invariant

timing_init_filtered

(bool) Flag for the alternate timing convention (Kim and Nelson, 2012).

timing_init_predicted

(bool) Flag for the default timing convention (Durbin and Koopman, 2012).

timing_options

transition

(array) Transition matrix: \(T~(k\_states \times k\_states \times nobs)\)