statsmodels.tsa.statespace.simulation_smoother.SimulationSmoother#

class statsmodels.tsa.statespace.simulation_smoother.SimulationSmoother(k_endog, k_states, k_posdef=None, simulation_smooth_results_class=None, simulation_smoother_classes=None, **kwargs)[source]#

State space representation of a time series process, with Kalman filter and smoother, and with simulation smoother

Parameters:
k_endog{array_like, int}

The observed time-series process \(y\) if array like or the number of variables in the process if an integer.

k_statesint

The dimension of the unobserved state process.

k_posdefint, optional

The dimension of a guaranteed positive definite covariance matrix describing the shocks in the measurement equation. Must be less than or equal to k_states. Default is k_states.

simulation_smooth_results_classclass, optional

Default results class to use to save output of simulation smoothing. Default is SimulationSmoothResults. If specified, class must extend from SimulationSmoothResults.

simulation_smoother_classesdict, optional

Dictionary with BLAS prefixes as keys and classes as values.

**kwargs

Keyword arguments may be used to provide default values for state space matrices, for Kalman filtering options, for Kalman smoothing options, or for Simulation smoothing options. See Representation, KalmanFilter, and KalmanSmoother for more details.

Attributes:
design
dtype

(dtype) Datatype of currently active representation matrices

endog
memory_no_filtered

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered state and covariance matrices

memory_no_forecast

(bool) Flag to prevent storing all forecast-related output

memory_no_predicted

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted state and covariance matrices

obs

(array) Observation vector: \(y~(k\_endog \times nobs)\)

obs_cov
obs_intercept
prefix

(str) BLAS prefix of currently active representation matrices

selection
state_cov
state_intercept
time_invariant

(bool) Whether or not currently active representation matrices are

transition

Methods

bind(endog)

Bind data to the statespace representation

clone(endog, **kwargs)

Clone a state space representation while overriding some elements

diff_endog(new_endog[, tolerance])

Compute indices of revised and newly added observations

extend(endog[, start, end])

Extend the current state space model, or a specific (time) subset

filter([filter_method, inversion_method, ...])

Apply the Kalman filter to the statespace model

fixed_scale(scale)

Context manager for fixing the scale when FILTER_CONCENTRATED is set

get_simulation_output([simulation_output, ...])

Get simulation output bitmask

impulse_responses([steps, impulse, ...])

Impulse response function

initialize(initialization[, ...])

Create an Initialization object if necessary

initialize_approximate_diffuse([variance])

Initialize the statespace model with approximate diffuse values

initialize_components([a, Pstar, Pinf, A, ...])

Initialize the statespace model with component matrices

initialize_diffuse()

Initialize the statespace model as diffuse

initialize_known(constant, stationary_cov)

Initialize the statespace model with a known distribution for the initial state

initialize_stationary()

Initialize the statespace model as stationary

loglike(**kwargs)

Calculate the loglikelihood associated with the statespace model

loglikeobs(**kwargs)

Calculate the loglikelihood for each observation associated with the statespace model

set_conserve_memory([conserve_memory])

Set the memory conservation method

set_filter_method([filter_method])

Set the filtering method

set_filter_timing([alternate_timing])

Set the filter timing convention

set_inversion_method([inversion_method])

Set the inversion method

set_smooth_method([smooth_method])

Set the smoothing method

set_smoother_output([smoother_output])

Set the smoother output

set_stability_method([stability_method])

Set the numerical stability method

simulate(nsimulations[, measurement_shocks, ...])

Simulate a new time series following the state space model

simulation_smoother([simulation_output, ...])

Retrieve a simulation smoother for the statespace model.

simulator(nsimulations[, rng])

Retrieve a simulator for the statespace model

smooth([smoother_output, smooth_method, ...])

Apply the Kalman smoother to the statespace model.

Methods

bind(endog)

Bind data to the statespace representation

clone(endog, **kwargs)

Clone a state space representation while overriding some elements

diff_endog(new_endog[, tolerance])

Compute indices of revised and newly added observations

extend(endog[, start, end])

Extend the current state space model, or a specific (time) subset

filter([filter_method, inversion_method, ...])

Apply the Kalman filter to the statespace model

fixed_scale(scale)

Context manager for fixing the scale when FILTER_CONCENTRATED is set

get_simulation_output([simulation_output, ...])

Get simulation output bitmask

impulse_responses([steps, impulse, ...])

Impulse response function

initialize(initialization[, ...])

Create an Initialization object if necessary

initialize_approximate_diffuse([variance])

Initialize the statespace model with approximate diffuse values

initialize_components([a, Pstar, Pinf, A, ...])

Initialize the statespace model with component matrices

initialize_diffuse()

Initialize the statespace model as diffuse

initialize_known(constant, stationary_cov)

Initialize the statespace model with a known distribution for the initial state

initialize_stationary()

Initialize the statespace model as stationary

loglike(**kwargs)

Calculate the loglikelihood associated with the statespace model

loglikeobs(**kwargs)

Calculate the loglikelihood for each observation associated with the statespace model

set_conserve_memory([conserve_memory])

Set the memory conservation method

set_filter_method([filter_method])

Set the filtering method

set_filter_timing([alternate_timing])

Set the filter timing convention

set_inversion_method([inversion_method])

Set the inversion method

set_smooth_method([smooth_method])

Set the smoothing method

set_smoother_output([smoother_output])

Set the smoother output

set_stability_method([stability_method])

Set the numerical stability method

simulate(nsimulations[, measurement_shocks, ...])

Simulate a new time series following the state space model

simulation_smoother([simulation_output, ...])

Retrieve a simulation smoother for the statespace model.

simulator(nsimulations[, rng])

Retrieve a simulator for the statespace model

smooth([smoother_output, smooth_method, ...])

Apply the Kalman smoother to the statespace model.

Properties

conserve_memory

(int) Memory conservation bitmask

design

(array) Design matrix: \(Z~(k\_endog \times k\_states \times nobs)\)

dtype

(dtype) Datatype of currently active representation matrices

endog

(array) The observation vector, alias for obs

filter_augmented

(bool) Flag for augmented Kalman filtering.

filter_chandrasekhar

(bool) Flag for filtering with Chandrasekhar recursions

filter_collapsed

(bool) Flag for Kalman filtering with collapsed observation vector

filter_concentrated

(bool) Flag for Kalman filtering with concentrated log-likelihood

filter_conventional

(bool) Flag for conventional Kalman filtering

filter_exact_initial

(bool) Flag for exact initial Kalman filtering.

filter_extended

(bool) Flag for extended Kalman filtering.

filter_method

(int) Filtering method bitmask

filter_methods

filter_square_root

(bool) Flag for square-root Kalman filtering.

filter_timing

(int) Filter timing

filter_univariate

(bool) Flag for univariate filtering of multivariate observation vector

filter_unscented

(bool) Flag for unscented Kalman filtering.

inversion_method

(int) Inversion method bitmask

inversion_methods

invert_cholesky

(bool) Flag for Cholesky inversion method

invert_lu

(bool) Flag for LU inversion method

invert_univariate

(bool) Flag for univariate inversion method (recommended)

memory_conserve

(bool) Flag to conserve the maximum amount of memory

memory_no_filtered

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered state and covariance matrices

memory_no_filtered_cov

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered state covariance matrices

memory_no_filtered_mean

(bool) Flag to prevent storing filtered states

memory_no_forecast

(bool) Flag to prevent storing all forecast-related output

memory_no_forecast_cov

(bool) Flag to prevent storing forecast error covariance matrices

memory_no_forecast_mean

(bool) Flag to prevent storing forecasts and forecast errors

memory_no_gain

(bool) Flag to prevent storing the Kalman gain matrices

memory_no_likelihood

(bool) Flag to prevent storing likelihood values for each observation

memory_no_predicted

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted state and covariance matrices

memory_no_predicted_cov

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted state covariance matrices

memory_no_predicted_mean

(bool) Flag to prevent storing predicted states

memory_no_smoothing

(bool) Flag to prevent storing values required for smoothing

memory_no_std_forecast

(bool) Flag to prevent storing standardized forecast errors

memory_options

memory_store_all

(bool) Flag for storing all intermediate results in memory (default)

obs

(array) Observation vector: \(y~(k\_endog \times nobs)\)

obs_cov

(array) Observation covariance matrix: \(H~(k\_endog \times k\_endog \times nobs)\)

obs_intercept

(array) Observation intercept: \(d~(k\_endog \times nobs)\)

prefix

(str) BLAS prefix of currently active representation matrices

selection

(array) Selection matrix: \(R~(k\_states \times k\_posdef \times nobs)\)

simulation_outputs

smooth_alternative

(bool) Flag for alternative (modified Bryson-Frazier) smoothing

smooth_classical

(bool) Flag for classical (see e.g. Anderson and Moore, 1979) smoothing.

smooth_conventional

(bool) Flag for conventional (Durbin and Koopman, 2012) Kalman smoothing

smooth_method

smooth_methods

smooth_univariate

(bool) Flag for univariate smoothing (uses modified Bryson-Frazier timing)

smoother_all

smoother_disturbance

smoother_disturbance_cov

smoother_output

smoother_outputs

smoother_state

smoother_state_autocov

smoother_state_cov

solve_cholesky

(bool) Flag for Cholesky and linear solver inversion method (recommended)

solve_lu

(bool) Flag for LU and linear solver inversion method

stability_force_symmetry

(bool) Flag for enforcing covariance matrix symmetry

stability_method

(int) Stability method bitmask

stability_methods

state_cov

(array) State covariance matrix: \(Q~(k\_posdef \times k\_posdef \times nobs)\)

state_intercept

(array) State intercept: \(c~(k\_states \times nobs)\)

time_invariant

(bool) Whether or not currently active representation matrices are time-invariant

timing_init_filtered

(bool) Flag for the alternate timing convention (Kim and Nelson, 2012)

timing_init_predicted

(bool) Flag for the default timing convention (Durbin and Koopman, 2012)

timing_options

transition

(array) Transition matrix: \(T~(k\_states \times k\_states \times nobs)\)